9 October 2026, 09:05
NBU
NBU News
Hryvnia deposits are rising — deposit strategies this autumn
The volume of deposits at Idea Bank rose to 5,8 billion UAH over 8 months in 2026. The NBU raised the rate to 16,0% and this pushed banks to offer higher interest on deposits for 6, 9 and 12 months.
The end of the war will be a shock to the economy and how the NBU is preparing
Pyshnyi believes that the end of the full‑scale invasion would be an external shock to the economy and reduce international aid, so the NBU is already developing alternative action plans.
Hryvnia exchange rate — NBU is not ready for a devaluation above 45 UAH/$
By the end of last week the rate was 44,84 UAH/$, the currency deficit about $0,8 bn, NBU interventions about $1,2 bn, and ICU forecasts movement to 45.8 UAH/$ by the end of the year.
Dollar to 46 UAH and euro to 54 UAH: autumn exchange rate forecast
Mamedov of Globus Bank believes that, absent new military or energy shocks, the dollar is unlikely to exceed 46 UAH by the end of 2026 given active NBU interventions.
When the NBU will start lowering the key rate and what will change
Most members of the NBU Committee expect the start of easing' of monetary policy in 2027. Seven participants believe that an increase to 16% creates sufficient tightness, two allow an additional increase in October, and one member allows a reduction already by the end of 2026.
MinFin will not raise rates on OVDP despite increased borrowings
The Ministry of Finance does not plan to significantly raise OVDP rates and is trying to avoid higher debt servicing costs by monitoring the balance on the Single Treasury Account and revising the spending schedule.
How attacks on ports change the hryvnia exchange rate, business and salaries
Attacks on ports reduce export receipts by 200−300 million dollars per month and force the NBU to sell reserves. On the interbank market 44,4−44,85 UAH, cash 44,5−45,25 UAH per dollar.
Gold purchases fell by 11% in August among Ukrainians
In August the public bought 578 troy ounces of gold for $2,532 mln. That's almost 18 kg of metal and 11% less than in July; at the same time banks increased imports of cash foreign currency.
Euro and dollar rates in October: what will affect fluctuations
The dollar in the period from 29 September to 5 October may hold within 44,5−45 UAH, the euro — 51−52,5 UAH. The NBU may intervene $900 mln — $1 bn per week to smooth demand.
Money in the budget is getting tight: Pidlasa speaks of the worst situation since 2022
Roksolana Pidlasa, who chairs the Rada's budget committee, did not choose to ’soften the wording. According to her, the state's liquidity is now worse than ever…
